AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
1 - 2
Almere City

Kitolano (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Robinet (12'), Hansen (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 2-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, October 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawAlmere City
38.95% (-1.388 -1.39)23.99% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)37.06% (1.428 1.43)
Both teams to score 61.5% (0.314 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.18% (0.34 0.34)40.82% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.79% (0.345 0.34)63.21% (-0.342 -0.34)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (-0.51100000000001 -0.51)21.11% (0.514 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05% (-0.801 -0.8)53.94% (0.805 0.81)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (0.901 0.9)22.04% (-0.897 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (1.341 1.34)55.37% (-1.338 -1.34)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 38.95%
    Almere City 37.06%
    Draw 23.98%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.268 -0.27)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.188 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 38.95%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.65% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.184 0.18)
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.32% (0.199 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.2 0.2)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.107 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.169 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.115 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.072 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 37.06%

How you voted: Sparta vs Almere City

Sparta Rotterdam
100%
Draw
0.0%
Almere City
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 29
Almere City
1-3
Sparta
Loen (26')
Mirani (92')
Rayhi (12'), Ache (51'), Duarte (85')
Auassar (37'), Faye (74')
Dec 7, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 17
Sparta
6-1
Almere City
Rayhi (9'), Veldwijk (38', 62', 88'), Wuytens (48'), Dervisoglu (90')
Vriends (21'), Duarte (30'), Auassar (49')
Wuytens (21' og.)
Receveur (47'), Ramos (74')
Ramos (84')