Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Nov 12, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
2 - 2
Ajax

Ritmeester van de Kamp (67'), Robinet (90+3' pen.)
Jacobs (7'), van Bruggen (15'), Robinet (15'), Resink (75'), Koopmeiners (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Akpom (68'), Tahirovic (82')
Brobbey (15'), Rensch (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 1-2 Almere City
Sunday, November 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 0-2 Brighton
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.68%) and 1-3 (6.51%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Almere City	Draw	Ajax
25.45% ( -0.38)	21.05% ( 0.13)	53.5% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 65.97% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.7% (

-1.02)

32.29% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.09% (

-1.2)

53.91% (

1.19)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.26% (

-0.81)

24.73% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.71% (

-1.14)

59.28% (

1.14)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.65% (

-0.27)

12.35% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.82% (

-0.57)

38.18% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Almere City 25.45%

Ajax 53.5%

Draw 21.05%

Almere City	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.45%	1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.05%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 6.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0) 2-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 53.5%