MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 19:51:50| >> :600:788663:788663:
Ajax
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Brighton logo

Ajax
0 - 2
Brighton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Fati (15'), Adingra (53')
Pedro (33'), Paul van Hecke (69')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Ansu Fati and Simon Adingra guide Brighton & Hove Albion to a 2-0 Europa League victory over Ajax in Amsterdam.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 4-1 Heerenveen
Sunday, November 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.57%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
56.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 20.17% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 23.25% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 66.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.63% (0.016000000000005 0.02)30.37% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)51.63% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)10.87% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65% (0.010999999999996 0.01)35% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)25.26% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.98% (0.014999999999993 0.01)60.02% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 56.58%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 23.25%
    Draw 20.17%
AjaxDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 4.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.77%
4-2 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.23%
4-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 56.58%
1-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 20.17%
1-2 @ 5.77%
0-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 23.25%

How you voted: Ajax vs Brighton

Ajax
43.5%
Draw
23.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion
33.3%
147
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Brighton
2-0
Ajax
Pedro (42'), Fati (53')
Mitoma (22'), Paul van Hecke (31')
rhs 2.0
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