Europa League
Nov 9, 2023 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • goal Ansu Fati 15'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 33'
  • goal Simon Adingra 53'
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 69'

Ajax vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 26, 2023 8.00pm
Brighton 2 - 0 Ajax

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 26, 2023 8.00pm
Brighton 2 - 0 Ajax

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.57%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result

Ajax 56.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 20.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion 23.25% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 30.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 48.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 51.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 29.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 70.74% ▼ (-0.02)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 89.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 10.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 35% ▼ (-0.01)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 74.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 60.02% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Ajax 56.57%
Draw 20.17%
Brighton & Hove Albion 23.25%
Ajax
2-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77%
4-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.23%
4-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 56.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 20.17%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 5.77%
0-1 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 23.25%

Head to Head

Europa League
Oct 26, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Kaoru Mitoma 22' yellowcard
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 31' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 42' goal
  • Ansu Fati 53' goal