Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 26, 2023 at 11.15am UK

Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
0 - 5
Heracles

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sankoh (4', 64', 87'), Nankishi (71', 78')
Roosken (19'), Ouahim (62'), Wieckhoff (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: Almere City 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 4-1 Heracles
Friday, November 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	Heracles
36.86% ( -0.89)	24.23% ( 0.3)	38.91% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 60.59% (

-1.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.01% (

-1.51)

41.99% (

1.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.6% (

-1.54)

64.4% (

1.54)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.32% (

-1.13)

22.68% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.68% (

-1.71)

56.32% (

1.71)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.36% (

-0.37)

21.64% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.24% (

-0.57)

54.76% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Almere City 36.86%

Heracles 38.91%

Draw 24.22%

Almere City	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.86%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.22%	1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 38.91%