/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flivlog.png)
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Mohamed Salah
29'
-
Wataru Endo
45'+3'
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Mohamed Salah
84'
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Gabriel Magalhaes
4'
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Bukayo Saka
38'
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Kai Havertz
45'+4'
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Declan Rice
49'
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Eddie Nketiah
86'
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Ben White
90'+1'
Liverpool vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Liverpool
51.52%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
22.2%
▲
(+0.33)
Arsenal
26.28%
▼
(-0.26)
Both Teams to Score:
62.54%
▼
(-1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.86%
▼
(-1.79)
Under 2.5
37.14%
▲
(+1.79)
Over 3.5
40.66%
▼
(-1.96)
Under 3.5
59.33%
▲
(+1.96)
Over 4.5
22.67%
▼
(-1.61)
Under 4.5
77.32%
▲
(+1.61)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5
85.36%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 0.5
14.63%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 1.5
57.24%
▼
(-1.27)
Under 1.5
42.76%
▲
(+1.27)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5
73.27%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 0.5
26.73%
▲
(+1.12)
Over 1.5
38%
▼
(-1.50)
Under 1.5
61.99%
▲
(+1.50)
Score analysis
Liverpool
51.52%
Draw
22.2%
Arsenal
26.28%
Liverpool
2-1
@
9.53%
▲
(+0.10)
1-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.48)
2-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.19)
4-1 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.14)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 51.52%
1-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.48)
2-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.19)
4-1 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.14)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 51.52%
Draw
1-1
@
9.92%
▲
(+0.33)
2-2 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.34)
3-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.2%
2-2 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.34)
3-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.2%
Arsenal
1-2
@
6.54%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.29)
0-2 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.29)
0-2 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 26.28%
Head to Head
Build-up
Predicted Lineups
News