Premier League Gameweek 17
Arsenal
Dec 17, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Brighton
  • Ben White 38' yellowcard
  • Mikel Arteta 43' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 53' goal
  • Kai Havertz 87' goal
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 43'
  • yellowcard Billy Gilmour 76'
  • yellowcard Pascal Gross 89'

Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Arsenal
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Bukayo Saka

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
Brighton 1 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 15.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Arsenal 67.46% ▲ (+1.82)
Draw 17.44% ▼ (-0.37)
Brighton & Hove Albion 15.09% ▼ (-1.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.34% ▼ (-2.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.56% ▼ (-1.26)
Under 2.5 30.43% ▲ (+1.26)
Over 3.5 48.28% ▼ (-1.53)
Under 3.5 51.71% ▲ (+1.53)
Over 4.5 29.18% ▼ (-1.38)
Under 4.5 70.81% ▲ (+1.38)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 91.66% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 8.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 70.95% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 29.05% ▼ (-0.14)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 66.92% ▼ (-2.50)
Under 0.5 33.07% ▲ (+2.50)
Over 1.5 30.33% ▼ (-2.87)
Under 1.5 69.67% ▲ (+2.87)

Score analysis

Arsenal 67.46%
Draw 17.44%
Brighton & Hove Albion 15.09%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.64)
3-1 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.55)
1-0 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.50)
4-1 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.35)
3-2 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.26)
4-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.15)
5-1 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.18)
5-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 5.71%
Total : 67.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.33)
0-0 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.20)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.44%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.28)
0-1 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 15.09%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 36
Arsenal
May 14, 2023 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
  • goal Julio Enciso 51'
  • goal Deniz Undav 86'
  • goal Pervis Estupinan 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Brighton
Dec 31, 2022 5.30pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Arsenal
  • Kaoru Mitoma 65' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 77' goal
  • goal Bukayo Saka 2'
  • goal Martin Odegaard 39'
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 47'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 71'
EFL Cup
Arsenal
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Emirates Stadium
Brighton
  • Eddie Nketiah 20' goal
  • goal Danny Welbeck 27'
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 58'
  • goal Tariq Lamptey 71'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Arsenal
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Brighton
  • Martin Odegaard 39' yellowcard
  • Bukayo Saka 50' yellowcard
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 82' yellowcard
  • Martin Odegaard 89' goal
  • goal Leandro Trossard 29'
  • yellowcard Yves Bissouma 35'
  • yellowcard Pascal Gross 40'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 52'
  • goal Enock Mwepu 66'
  • yellowcard Robert Sanchez 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Brighton
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Neal Maupay 74' yellowcard
  • Joel Veltman 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Arsenal
May 23, 2021 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
  • Nicolas Pepe 49' goal
  • Nicolas Pepe 60' goal

Form Data

PSV 1 - 1 Arsenal
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Arsenal
Luton 3 - 4 Arsenal
Arsenal 2 - 1 Wolves
Arsenal 6 - 0 Lens
Brentford 0 - 1 Arsenal
Brighton 1 - 0 Marseille
Brighton 1 - 1 Burnley
Brighton 2 - 1 Brentford
Chelsea 3 - 2 Brighton
AEK Athens 0 - 1 Brighton
Nott'm Forest 2 - 3 Brighton

Build-up

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