Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 17

Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
2 - 0
Brighton

Jesus (53'), Havertz (87')
White (38'), Arteta (43')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitoma (43'), Gilmour (76'), Gross (89')

Reaction

Kai Havertz celebrates scoring for Arsenal on December 17, 2023

Mikel Arteta: 'Intelligent Kai Havertz feels more secure at Arsenal'

Mikel Arteta believes that Kai Havertz is beginning to feel more "secure" in his Arsenal team following his goal in Sunday's 2-0 win over Brighton & Hove Albion.

Dec 17, 18:41

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: PSV 1-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Marseille
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 15.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
67.46% ( 1.81)	17.44% ( -0.37)	15.09% ( -1.45)

Both teams to score 61.34% (

-2.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.56% (

-1.26)

30.43% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.28% (

-1.52)

51.71% (

1.52)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.66% (

0.05)

8.33% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.95% (

0.14)

29.05% (

-0.14)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.92% (

-2.5)

33.07% (

2.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.33% (

-2.86)

69.67% (

2.86)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 67.46%

Brighton & Hove Albion 15.09%

Draw 17.44%

Arsenal	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.54) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.49) 4-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.18) 5-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.13) 6-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.82% Total : 67.46%	1-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.44%	1-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.7% Total : 15.09%