Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.