Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 73.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Lamia had a probability of 8.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.1%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Lamia win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.