Europa League
Nov 9, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
  • Mijat Gacinovic 28' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 66' yellowcard
  • goal Chancel Mbemba 25'
  • yellowcard Vitor Oliveira 45'+3'
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 90'+3'

AEK Athens vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 26, 2023 5.45pm
Marseille 3 - 1 AEK Athens

Marseille

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 26, 2023 5.45pm
Marseille 3 - 1 AEK Athens

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result

AEK Athens 39.4%
Draw 24.97%
Marseille 35.63%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.75% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.38% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 45.61%
Over 3.5 32.06% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 67.94%
Over 4.5 16.12% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.88%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5 77.01% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.99%
Over 1.5 43.21% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.79%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 74.99% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25%
Over 1.5 40.34% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.66%

Score analysis

AEK Athens 39.4%
Draw 24.96%
Marseille 35.63%
AEK Athens
2-1 @ 8.61%
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 6.21%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.96%
Marseille
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-1 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 35.63%

Head to Head

Europa League
Oct 26, 2023 5.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Leonardo Balerdi 26' yellowcard
  • Vitor Oliveira 27' goal
  • Jonathan Clauss 32' yellowcard
  • Amine Harit 60' goal
  • Jordan Veretout 69' goal
  • yellowcard Djibril Sidibe 11'
  • yellowcard Lazaros Rota 45'+4'
  • goal Orbelin Pineda 53'
  • redcard Cican Stankovic 57'
  • yellowcard Nordin Amrabat 68'
  • yellowcard Jens Jonsson 83'