Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Amine Harit 42' yellowcard
  • Samuel Gigot 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 27'
  • yellowcard Nabil Bentaleb 70'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Yazici 73'

Marseille vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 8.00pm
Nice 1 - 0 Marseille
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2023 2.00pm
Lille 2 - 0 Monaco
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Jonathan David

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Lille had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Marseille 45.34% (-0.01)
Draw 24.03% (+0.01)
Lille 30.63% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.33% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.18% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 42.82% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 34.78% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 65.22% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 18.1% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.9% (+0.01)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 80.92% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19.08% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 49.31% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 50.69% (+0.02)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 73.32% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.67% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.08% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.92%

Score analysis

Marseille 45.34%
Draw 24.03%
Lille 30.63%
Marseille
2-1 @ 9.23%
1-0 @ 8.43% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 45.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.03%
Lille
1-2 @ 7.36% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.73% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.44% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.24% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 1.96% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 30.63%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 36
May 20, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jonathan David 50' goal
  • Jonathan Bamba 72' goal
  • goal Jonathan Clauss 29'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Sep 10, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alexis Sanchez 26' goal
  • Samuel Gigot 61' goal
  • goal Ismaily 12'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Matteo Guendouzi 4' yellowcard
  • Cengiz Under 75' goal
  • goal Sven Botman 15'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 30'
  • redcard Benjamin Andre 32'
  • yellowcard Ivo Grbic 55'
  • yellowcard Zeki Celik 55'
  • yellowcard Isaac Lihadji 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Oct 3, 2021 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Reinildo Mandava 11' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 28' goal
  • Burak Yilmaz 66' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Cengiz Under 24'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 37'
  • redcard Cengiz Under 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonathan David 90' goal
  • Jonathan David 90'+2' goal
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2020 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yuto Nagatomo 21' yellowcard
  • Florian Thauvin 58' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Gonzalez 65' yellowcard
  • Valere Germain 85' goal
  • goal Luiz Araujo 47'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 50'
  • yellowcard Domagoj Bradaric 58'
  • yellowcard Renato Sanches 80'