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Ligue 1

Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lille

Marseille
0 - 0
Lille


Harit (42'), Gigot (53')
FT

Andre (27'), Bentaleb (70'), Yazici (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews the Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 AEK Athens
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Monaco
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Lille had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLille
45.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)24.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.63% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 59.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.18% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)42.82% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)65.22% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)19.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)50.69% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)61.92%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 45.34%
    Lille 30.63%
    Draw 24.03%
MarseilleDrawLille
2-1 @ 9.23%
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 45.34%
1-1 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 30.63%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lille

Marseille
40.4%
Draw
31.9%
Lille
27.7%
47
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Lille
2-1
Marseille
David (50' pen.), Bamba (72')
Andre (57'), Bamba (73'), Bayo (85')
Clauss (29')
Balerdi (37'), Rongier (55')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Marseille
2-1
Lille
Sanchez (26'), Gigot (61')
Ismaily (12')
> Preview
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Under (75')
Guendouzi (4')
Botman (15')
Andre (30'), Grbic (55'), Celik (55'), Lihadji (86')
Andre (32')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 9
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (28', 90+4')
Mandava (11'), Yilmaz (66')

Under (24'), Balerdi (37')
Under (77')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 28
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (90', 90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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