Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Lille had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.