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Ligue 1

Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
Lille

Le Havre
0 - 2
Lille

FT(HT: 0-1)
Zhegrova (40'), Salmier (52' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last Game: Le Havre 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Reims
Tuesday, September 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawLille
27.4% (-0.103 -0.1)27.08% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)45.52% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 47.69% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.94% (0.036999999999999 0.04)57.06% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05% (0.029 0.03)77.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.59% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)36.41% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (-0.061 -0.06)73.19% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.078000000000003 0.08)25% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.108 0.11)59.66% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 27.4%
    Lille 45.52%
    Draw 27.08%
Le HavreDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.65% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 27.4%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 12.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.75% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.04% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 45.52%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Lille

Le Havre
35.7%
Draw
32.1%
Lille
32.1%
28