Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Oceane
  • goal Edon Zhegrova 40'
  • goal Yoann Salmier 52' (OG)

Le Havre vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
Le Havre 2 - 1 Clermont
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Mohamed Bayo

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Sep 26, 2023 8.00pm
Lille 1 - 2 Reims
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Jonathan David

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result

Le Havre 27.4% (-0.11)
Draw 27.08% (-0.03)
Lille 45.52% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.69% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.94% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 57.06% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 22.05% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 77.95% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 9.54% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 90.46% (-0.02)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 63.59% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 36.41% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 26.81% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 73.19% (+0.07)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 75% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 25% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 40.34% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 59.66% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Le Havre 27.4%
Draw 27.08%
Lille 45.52%
Le Havre
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.65% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 27.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.08%
Lille
0-1 @ 12.61% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.84% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.75% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.08% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.04% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.06% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 45.52%