Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reims had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.