Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League

Lille
Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
NK Olimpija Ljubljana

Lille
2 - 0
Ljubljana

David (43' pen.), Yazici (90+4')
Gomes (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedro (35'), Elsnik (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa Conference League clash between Lille and NK Olimpija Ljubljana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rennes 2-2 Lille
Saturday, September 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1

NK Olimpija Ljubljana

All competitions
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-1 Maribor
Saturday, September 16 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
64.71% (0.14099999999999 0.14)18.79% (-0.218 -0.22)16.49% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 59.51% (1.023 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.75% (1.229 1.23)34.25% (-1.231 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.85% (1.376 1.38)56.15% (-1.378 -1.38)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.01% (0.38 0.38)9.99% (-0.3821 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.99% (0.869 0.87)33.01% (-0.872 -0.87)
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12% (0.861 0.86)33.88% (-0.863 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45% (0.923 0.92)70.55% (-0.925 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Lille 64.71%
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 16.49%
    Draw 18.79%
LilleDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.272 -0.27)
1-0 @ 7.8% (-0.369 -0.37)
3-1 @ 7.46% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.9% (-0.093000000000001 -0.09)
4-1 @ 4.3% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.134 0.13)
4-0 @ 3.97% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.114 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.98% (0.084 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.035 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.07% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 64.71%
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 18.79%
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.66% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-2 @ 1.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 16.49%

How you voted: Lille vs Ljubljana

Lille
84.1%
Draw
9.5%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
6.3%
63