Europa League

Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stadion Stozice

Ljubljana
0 - 2
Qarabag

(Qarabag FK win 3-1 on aggregate)

Doffo (23'), Elsnik (45+2'), Sualehe (55'), Seslar (59')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Medina (32'), Andrade (44')
Romao (29'), Gugeshashvili (72+72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between NK Olimpija Ljubljana and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Olimpija Ljubljana

All competitions

Last Game: Aluminij 4-5 Ljubljana
Saturday, August 19 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Goals
for

Qarabag FK

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-2 Qarabag
Thursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Ljubljana	13	3.25	Fadida
2	Celje	11	2.75	Matko
3	Maribor	9	2.25	Jakupovic
4	Aluminij	8	2.00	Brest
5	Koper	7	1.75	NKada
6	Domzale	6	1.50	Cerne
7	NS Mura	5	1.25	Shabanhaxhaj
8	Bravo	4	1.00	Poplatnik
9	Radomlje	2	0.50	Korun
10	Rogaska	2	0.50	Pavlovic

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result
NK Olimpija Ljubljana	Draw	Qarabag FK
31.59% ( -0.03)	25.19% ( -0)	43.21% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 55.83% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.39% (

-0.01)

47.61% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.18% (

-0.01)

69.81% (

NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58% (

-0.02)

28.42% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.83% (

-0.02)

64.17% (

0.02)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.99% (

0.01)

22% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.68% (

0.01)

55.31% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

NK Olimpija Ljubljana 31.59%

Qarabag FK 43.21%

Draw 25.19%

NK Olimpija Ljubljana	Draw	Qarabag FK
1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.59%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.21%