Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Olimpija Ljubljana would win this match.