Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 8, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadion Stozice

Ljubljana
0 - 3
Galatasaray

(Galatasaray win 4-0 on aggregate)

Motika (54'), Motika (54'), Motika (90'), A (90'), Motika (90'), Jakupovic (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Akturkoglu (9', 9'), Mertens (48', 48'), Dervisoglu (90+1', 90+1')
Oliveira (42'), Oliveira (42'), Dervisoglu (90+3'), Dervisoglu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between NK Olimpija Ljubljana and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Olimpija Ljubljana

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Ljubljana 2-1 Ludogorets
Tuesday, August 1 at 7pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Galatasaray

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Zalgiris
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
NK Olimpija Ljubljana	Draw	Galatasaray
29.36% ( 0.02)	23.6% ( 0)	47.04% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.51% (

-0)

41.49% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.11% (

-0)

63.89% (

0.01)

NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.15% (

0.01)

26.84% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.85% (

0.01)

62.14% (

-0.01)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.13% (

-0.01)

17.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.36% (

-0.01)

48.64% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

NK Olimpija Ljubljana 29.36%

Galatasaray 47.04%

Draw 23.6%

NK Olimpija Ljubljana	Draw	Galatasaray
2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.36%	1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.37% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 47.04%