Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.