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Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 5pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas
Galatasaray

Zalgiris
2 - 2
Galatasaray

Oyewusi (47'), Kazlauskas (90+1')
Gorobsov (29'), Hnid (76'), Kazlauskas (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bardakci (75'), Dervisoglu (78')
Kutlu (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FK Zalgiris and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Zalgiris

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Last Game: Struga 1-2 Zalgiris
Tuesday, July 18 at 4pm in Champions League
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Galatasaray

All competitions
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-0 Galatasaray
Tuesday, July 18 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
FK ZalgirisDrawGalatasaray
34.36% (-0.012 -0.01)24.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.65% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.35% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)45.65% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.03% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)67.97% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.75% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.32% (-0.012 -0.01)60.68% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.15% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    FK Zalgiris 34.37%
    Galatasaray 40.71%
    Draw 24.93%
FK ZalgirisDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 7.81%
2-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.37%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.38%
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 1.64%
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 40.71%

How you voted: Zalgiris vs Galatasaray

FK Zalgiris
11.1%
Draw
9.3%
Galatasaray
79.6%
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