Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.