Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas

Zalgiris
0 - 0
Struga

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FK Zalgiris and Struga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Zalgiris 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Struga 1-4 FK Liepaja
Thursday, July 15 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 67.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Struga had a probability of 12.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.36%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Struga win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
FK ZalgirisDrawStruga
67.64% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)12.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 43.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)71.47% (0.0019999999999953 0)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.35%13.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.17%40.83%
Struga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)49.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)84.22% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    FK Zalgiris 67.63%
    Struga 12.25%
    Draw 20.1%
FK ZalgirisDrawStruga
1-0 @ 13.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.36%
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 8.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.26%
4-0 @ 4.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 67.63%
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 20.1%
0-1 @ 4.76%
1-2 @ 3.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 12.25%

How you voted: Zalgiris vs Struga

FK Zalgiris
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Struga
0.0%
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