Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 4pm UK
Gradska Plaza Stadium

Struga
1 - 2
Zalgiris

Ibraimi (75' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kendysh (78'), Radic (83' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Struga and FK Zalgiris, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Zalgiris 0-0 Struga
Tuesday, July 11 at 5pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Zalgiris 0-0 Struga
Tuesday, July 11 at 5pm in Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 77.16%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Struga had a probability of 7.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.19%) and 0-3 (11.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Struga win it was 1-0 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.

Result
StrugaDrawFK Zalgiris
7.47% (0.0141 0.01)15.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)77.16% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 40.61% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.98% (0.024999999999999 0.02)43.02% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.58% (0.024000000000001 0.02)65.42% (-0.020999999999987 -0.02)
Struga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.77% (0.056999999999995 0.06)55.23% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.98% (0.032 0.03)88.02% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.7% (0.0020000000000095 0)9.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.38%
Score Analysis
    Struga 7.47%
    FK Zalgiris 77.14%
    Draw 15.37%
StrugaDrawFK Zalgiris
1-0 @ 3.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 7.47%
1-1 @ 7.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 2.55% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 15.37%
0-2 @ 14.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 12.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 6.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 4.04% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-5 @ 3.24% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-6 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 77.14%

How you voted: Struga vs Zalgiris

Struga
28.3%
Draw
8.7%
FK Zalgiris
63.0%
46
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2023 5pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Zalgiris
0-0
Struga
Gorobsov (33')
Ibraimi (37')