Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 77.16%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Struga had a probability of 7.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.19%) and 0-3 (11.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Struga win it was 1-0 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.