Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 4pm UK
Gradska Plaza Stadium
Struga1 - 2Zalgiris
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 77.16%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Struga had a probability of 7.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.19%) and 0-3 (11.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Struga win it was 1-0 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Struga | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
| 7.47% ( | 15.37% ( | 77.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 40.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.98% ( | 43.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.58% ( | 65.42% ( |
| Struga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.77% ( | 55.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.98% ( | 88.02% ( |
| FK Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.7% ( | 9.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.61% ( | 31.38% |
| Score Analysis |
Struga 7.47%
FK Zalgiris 77.14%
Draw 15.37%
| Struga | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
| 1-0 @ 3.05% ( 2-1 @ 2.15% ( 2-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.37% Total : 7.47% | 1-1 @ 7.24% ( 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 2-2 @ 2.55% ( Other @ 0.44% Total : 15.37% | 0-2 @ 14.48% ( 0-1 @ 12.19% ( 0-3 @ 11.47% ( 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0-4 @ 6.81% ( 1-3 @ 6.81% ( 1-4 @ 4.04% ( 0-5 @ 3.24% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 1-5 @ 1.92% ( 0-6 @ 1.28% ( 2-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 77.14% |
How you voted: Struga vs Zalgiris
Struga
28.3%Draw
8.7%FK Zalgiris
63.0%46
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2023 5pm
Form Guide


