Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.