Champions League
Aug 2, 2023 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT NEF Stadyumu
  • Dries Mertens 31' goal
  • Dries Mertens 62' yellowcard
  • Kaan Ayhan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Bopesu 5'
  • yellowcard Mathias Oyewusi 56'
  • yellowcard Nassim Hnid 77'

Galatasaray vs FK Zalgiris - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 25, 2023 5.00pm
Zalgiris 2 - 2 Galatasaray

FK Zalgiris

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 25, 2023 5.00pm
Zalgiris 2 - 2 Galatasaray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result

Galatasaray 54.82% (+0.04)
Draw 21.32%
FK Zalgiris 23.85% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.04% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.67% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 35.32% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 42.65% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 57.35% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 24.3% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 75.69% (+0.04)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5 87.02% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 12.97% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 60.53% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 39.47%

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5 72.43% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 27.56% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 36.91% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 63.08% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Galatasaray 54.82%
Draw 21.32%
FK Zalgiris 23.85%
Galatasaray
2-1 @ 9.61% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.46% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.3% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.54% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 54.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.58% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.32%
FK Zalgiris
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.61% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 23.85%

Head to Head

Champions League
Jul 25, 2023 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Vilniaus LFF stadionas
  • Nicolas Gorobsov 29' yellowcard
  • Mathias Oyewusi 47' goal
  • Nassim Hnid 76' yellowcard
  • Donatas Kazlauskas 80' yellowcard
  • Donatas Kazlauskas 90'+1' goal
  • Donatas Kazlauskas 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Berkan Kutlu 12'
  • goal Abdulkerim Bardakci 75'
  • goal Halil Dervisoglu 78'