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Champions League

Galatasaray
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 2, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
NEF Stadyumu

Galatasaray
1 - 0
Zalgiris

Mertens (31')
Mertens (62'), Ayhan (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bopesu (5'), Oyewusi (56'), Hnid (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Galatasaray and FK Zalgiris, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Zalgiris 2-2 Galatasaray
Tuesday, July 25 at 5pm in Champions League

FK Zalgiris

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Zalgiris 2-2 Galatasaray
Tuesday, July 25 at 5pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
GalatasarayDrawFK Zalgiris
54.82% (0.039000000000001 0.04)21.32%23.85% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 63.04% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.67% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)35.32% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.65% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)57.35% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.02% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)12.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)39.47%
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)27.56% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)63.08% (0.064 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 54.82%
    FK Zalgiris 23.85%
    Draw 21.32%
GalatasarayDrawFK Zalgiris
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.3% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 54.82%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.32%
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 23.85%

How you voted: Galatasaray vs Zalgiris

Galatasaray
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
FK Zalgiris
9.1%
33
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2023 5pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Zalgiris
2-2
Galatasaray
Oyewusi (47'), Kazlauskas (90+1')
Gorobsov (29'), Hnid (76'), Kazlauskas (80')
Kazlauskas (90+2')
Bardakci (75'), Dervisoglu (78')
Kutlu (12')
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