Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.