Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 51.83%. A win for Celje had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.