UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 24, 2023 at 6pm UK

Bloomfield Stadium

Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 - 1
Celje

(Maccabi Tel Aviv win 5-2 on aggregate)

Zahavi (22' pen., 51', 72'), Turgeman (90+1')
Saborit (58')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bajde (29')
Kouter (45'), Nemanic (54'), Bajde (55'), Prutsev (75')
Nemanic (90+2')

Coverage of the Conference League Playoffs clash between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Celje.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 67.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Celje had a probability of 13.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Celje win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Tel Aviv	Draw	Celje
67.22%	19.67%	13.11%

Both teams to score 47.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.33%

45.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32%

68%

Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.37%

12.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.24%

38.76%

Celje Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.37%

45.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.57%

81.43%

Score Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv 67.2%

Celje 13.11%

Draw 19.67%

Maccabi Tel Aviv	Draw	Celje
2-0 @ 12.33% 1-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 6.68% 4-0 @ 4.4% 4-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.62% 5-0 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.01% Total : 67.2%	1-1 @ 9.36% 0-0 @ 5.76% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.76% Total : 19.67%	0-1 @ 4.52% 1-2 @ 3.67% 0-2 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 0.99% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.19% Total : 13.11%