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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Bloomfield Stadium

Maccabi Tel Aviv
1 - 0
Larnaca

Zahavi (86' pen.)
Revivo (43'), Milson (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Faraj (26'), Sanchez (65'), Gama (73'), Gustavo (76'), Angel (85'), Lopes (88')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Maccabi Tel Aviv and AEK Larnaca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maccabi Tel Aviv

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Wednesday, August 9 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

AEK Larnaca

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Wednesday, August 9 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 14.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Maccabi Tel Aviv in this match.

Result
Maccabi Tel AvivDrawAEK Larnaca
63.35% (0.966 0.97)21.66% (-0.144 -0.14)14.98% (-0.825 -0.82)
Both teams to score 46.15% (-1.406 -1.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.89% (-0.893 -0.89)50.1% (0.889 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92% (-0.8 -0.8)72.07% (0.79599999999999 0.8)
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8% (0.012999999999991 0.01)15.2% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.17% (0.030000000000001 0.03)43.83% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.42% (-1.671 -1.67)45.57% (1.666 1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.61% (-1.344 -1.34)81.39% (1.339 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 63.34%
    AEK Larnaca 14.98%
    Draw 21.66%
Maccabi Tel AvivDrawAEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 13.04% (0.47 0.47)
2-0 @ 12.29% (0.45 0.45)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-0 @ 7.72% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.64% (0.137 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.134 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 63.34%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.246 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 5.44% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.03% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-2 @ 2.14% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 14.98%

How you voted: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Larnaca

Maccabi Tel Aviv
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
AEK Larnaca
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2023 6pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Larnaca
1-1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Faraj (80')
Angel (3'), Pons (86')
Cohen (64')
Biton (3'), Saborit (59'), Bitton (84')