Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis

Larnaca
1 - 1
Torpedo-BelAZ

Pons (90+6')
Sanchez (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gorbachik (90+8')
Melko (65'), Lisakovich (72')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between AEK Larnaca and Torpedo-BelAZ.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Torpedo-BelAZ 2-3 Larnaca
Thursday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Torpedo-BelAZ 2-3 Larnaca
Thursday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Torpedo-BelAZ win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
AEK LarnacaDrawTorpedo-BelAZ
52.25% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)25.43% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)22.32% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 47.7% (0.158 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (0.156 0.16)54.7% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (0.129 0.13)76.02% (-0.127 -0.13)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (0.034000000000006 0.03)20.96% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.29% (0.052999999999997 0.05)53.7% (-0.052 -0.05)
Torpedo-BelAZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.34% (0.175 0.17)39.66% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.66% (0.161 0.16)76.34% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    AEK Larnaca 52.24%
    Torpedo-BelAZ 22.32%
    Draw 25.43%
AEK LarnacaDrawTorpedo-BelAZ
1-0 @ 12.98% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.24%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.71% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 22.32%

How you voted: Larnaca vs Torpedo-BelAZ

AEK Larnaca
66.7%
Draw
8.3%
Torpedo-BelAZ
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 7pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Torpedo-BelAZ
2-3
Larnaca
Glushchenkov (70'), Ovono (73')
Premudrov (42'), Shevchenko (90+3')
Gyurcso (6' pen.), Casas (16'), Faraj (40')
rhs 2.0


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