Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.