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Ligue 1

Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
Roazhon Park
Lille

Rennes
2 - 2
Lille

Assignon (74'), Salah (89')
Matic (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yoro (33'), Diakite (62')
Yazici (30'), Diakite (51'), David (86'), Gomes (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Rennes
Saturday, September 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
RennesDrawLille
41.56% (0.914 0.91)25.01% (0.113 0.11)33.43% (-1.028 -1.03)
Both teams to score 57.12% (-0.66399999999999 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.745 -0.74)46.23% (0.745 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.47% (-0.708 -0.71)68.52% (0.706 0.71)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8% (0.121 0.12)22.2% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.39% (0.181 0.18)55.61% (-0.182 -0.18)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.97 -0.97)26.58% (0.969 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (-1.301 -1.3)61.8% (1.301 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 41.56%
    Lille 33.43%
    Draw 25%
RennesDrawLille
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.308 0.31)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.099 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.68% (0.255 0.26)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.065 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.14 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 41.56%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.184 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 33.43%

How you voted: Rennes vs Lille

Rennes
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Lille
15.4%
13
Head to Head
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Zhegrova (59'), Cabella (85'), Gomes (90+4')
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Lille
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Bourigeaud (58' pen.)
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May 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 38
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Andre (25'), Sanches (57')
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Gameweek 16
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Gameweek 21
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0-1
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