Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Olimpija Ljubljana would win this match.