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Ligue 1

Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Le Havre

Lyon
0 - 0
Le Havre


Lacazette (5'), Mata (41'), Kumbedi (79')
FT

Bayo (38'), Casimir (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-4 PSG
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Le Havre

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-0 Lorient
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawLe Havre
47.35% (-0.162 -0.16)23.39% (-0.102 -0.1)29.26% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 60.76% (0.549 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.43% (0.642 0.64)40.56% (-0.637 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.05% (0.656 0.66)62.94% (-0.652 -0.65)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.6% (0.185 0.19)17.39% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.18% (0.323 0.32)47.81% (-0.317 -0.32)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (0.503 0.5)26.44% (-0.499 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (0.66200000000001 0.66)61.61% (-0.657 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 47.35%
    Le Havre 29.26%
    Draw 23.39%
LyonDrawLe Havre
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.04% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 47.35%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.12% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.035 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.26%

How you voted: Lyon vs Le Havre

Lyon
69.2%
Draw
24.6%
Le Havre
6.2%
65