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Ligue 1

Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Brest logo

Lille
1 - 0
Brest

Yazici (6')
Andre (45+4'), Arnar Haraldsson (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Le Douaron (41'), Camblan (79'), Brahimi (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-1 Lille
Sunday, October 8 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Toulouse
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
LilleDrawBrest
58.97% (-0.424 -0.42)21.72% (0.041 0.04)19.3% (0.383 0.38)
Both teams to score 54.71% (0.551 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.82% (0.402 0.4)43.18% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.42% (0.395 0.4)65.58% (-0.39500000000001 -0.4)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.7% (0.0020000000000095 0)14.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)42.12%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (0.643 0.64)36.16% (-0.643 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (0.651 0.65)72.94% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Lille 58.97%
    Brest 19.3%
    Draw 21.72%
LilleDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.34% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.08% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 58.97%
1-1 @ 10.23%
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.087 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.72%
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.68% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 19.3%

How you voted: Lille vs Brest

Lille
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Brest
22.2%
18
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