Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Lille
Oct 22, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Brest
  • Yusuf Yazici 6' goal
  • Benjamin Andre 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeremy Le Douaron 41'
  • yellowcard Axel Camblan 79'
  • yellowcard Bilal Brahimi 84'

Lille vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 4.05pm
Lens 1 - 1 Lille
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Jonathan David

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
Brest 1 - 1 Toulouse
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Romain Del Castillo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result

Lille 58.97% ▼ (-0.43)
Draw 21.72% ▲ (+0.05)
Brest 19.3% ▲ (+0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.71% ▲ (+0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.82% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 2.5 43.18% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 3.5 34.42% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 3.5 65.58% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 4.5 17.84% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 4.5 82.16% ▼ (-0.30)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 85.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 14.3%
Over 1.5 57.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 42.12%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 63.84% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 0.5 36.16% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 1.5 27.06% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 1.5 72.94% ▼ (-0.66)

Score analysis

Lille 58.97%
Draw 21.72%
Brest 19.3%
Lille
1-0 @ 10.05% ▼ (-0.18)
2-1 @ 9.95% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 58.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.23%
0-0 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.72%
Brest
0-1 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 19.3%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Lille
Feb 24, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Brest
  • Bafode Diakite 60' goal
  • Alexsandro 80' goal
  • goal Tiago Djalo 8' (OG)
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Brest
Jan 11, 2023 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Lille
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Brest
Jan 22, 2022 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Lille
  • Tiago Djalo 3' goal
  • Steve Mounie 11' yellowcard
  • Lucien Agoume 27' yellowcard
  • Steve Mounie 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Burak Yilmaz 54'
  • yellowcard Reinildo Mandava 57'
  • yellowcard Renato Sanches 58'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Lille
Oct 23, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Brest
  • Jonathan David 19' goal
  • Reinildo Mandava 31' yellowcard
  • goal Romain Faivre 32'
  • yellowcard Christophe Herelle 70'
  • yellowcard Marco Bizot 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Lille
Feb 14, 2021 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brest
  • Zeki Celik 44' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Bamba 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Haris Belkebla 7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Brest
Nov 8, 2020 12.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT
Lille
  • Ronael Pierre-Gabriel 15' goal
  • Romain Perraud 19' goal
  • Irvin Cardona 42' goal
  • Brendan Chardonnet 52' yellowcard
  • Steve Mounie 56' yellowcard
  • Gautier Larsonneur 87' yellowcard
  • Julien Faussurier 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Burak Yilmaz 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Burak Yilmaz 45'+3'
  • goal Burak Yilmaz 57'
  • yellowcard Reinildo Mandava 64'
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 90'+4'

Form Data

Lens 1 - 1 Lille
KI 0 - 0 Lille
Le Havre 0 - 2 Lille
Lille 1 - 2 Reims
Lille 2 - 0 Ljubljana
Rennes 2 - 2 Lille
Brest 1 - 1 Toulouse
Nice 0 - 0 Brest
Brest 1 - 0 Lyon
Reims 1 - 2 Brest
Brest 0 - 0 Rennes
Marseille 2 - 0 Brest