Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Brest
Sep 23, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lyon
  • Pierre Lees-Melou 31' yellowcard
  • Mahdi Camara 64' yellowcard
  • Lilian Brassier 81' yellowcard
  • Steve Mounie 87' goal
  • yellowcard Ernest Nuamah 10'

Brest vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2023 2.00pm
Reims 1 - 2 Brest
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Romain Del Castillo

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2023 7.45pm
Lyon 0 - 0 Le Havre
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Alexandre Lacazette

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result

Brest 29.66% ▲ (+0.46)
Draw 26.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Lyon 44% ▼ (-0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.23% ▲ (+0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.84% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 2.5 53.16% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 25.27% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 74.73% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 4.5 11.53% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 88.47% ▼ (-0.13)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 67.43% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 0.5 32.57% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 1.5 30.89% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 1.5 69.11% ▼ (-0.51)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 75.98% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 24.02% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 41.72% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 58.28% ▲ (+0.18)

Score analysis

Brest 29.66%
Draw 26.33%
Lyon 44%
Brest
1-0 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 29.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.33%
Lyon
0-1 @ 11.16% ▼ (-0.13)
1-2 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 44%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Lyon
Feb 1, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brest
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Brest
Dec 28, 2022 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 3
FT
Lyon
  • Mathias Pereira Lage 29' goal
  • Steve Mounie 72' goal
  • goal Maxence Caqueret 21'
  • goal Rayan Cherki 32'
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 35'
  • goal Tete 49'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Brest
Apr 20, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Lyon
  • Steve Mounie 27' goal
  • Julien Faussurier 30' yellowcard
  • Martin Satriano 58' yellowcard
  • Irvin Cardona 74' goal
  • yellowcard Tete 18'
  • yellowcard Thiago Mendes 55'
  • goal Moussa Dembele 72'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Lyon
Aug 7, 2021 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Brest
  • Islam Slimani 62' goal
  • Islam Slimani 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Irvin Cardona 43'
  • yellowcard Hugo Magnetti 67'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Brest
Feb 19, 2021 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT
Lyon
  • Haris Belkebla 40' yellowcard
  • Brendan Chardonnet 53' goal
  • Irvin Cardona 74' goal
  • Christophe Herelle 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Paqueta 9'
  • goal Houssem Aouar 29'
  • goal Memphis Depay 44'
  • yellowcard Mattia De Sciglio 56'
  • yellowcard Lucas Paqueta 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Lyon
Dec 16, 2020 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Brest
  • Mattia De Sciglio 15' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 69' goal
  • Maxwel Cornet 81' goal
  • Anthony Lopes 90' yellowcard
  • Lucas Paqueta 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Lopes 39' (OG)
  • redcard Paul Lasne 74'
  • goal Romain Faivre 90'+2'

Form Data

Reims 1 - 2 Brest
Brest 0 - 0 Rennes
Marseille 2 - 0 Brest
Le Havre 1 - 2 Brest
Brest 3 - 2 Lens
Brest 1 - 2 Rennes
Lyon 0 - 0 Le Havre
Lyon 1 - 4 PSG
Nice 0 - 0 Lyon
Lyon 1 - 4 Montpellier
Strasbourg 2 - 1 Lyon
Crystal Palace 2 - 0 Lyon