Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Slovan Bratislava win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.