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UEFA Conference League

Lille
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Slovan Bratislava

Lille
2 - 1
Slovan Bratislava

Yazici (68'), Cabella (82')
Diakite (63'), Bentaleb (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cavric (23')
Kucka (75'), Wimmer (90+5')
Lovat (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Lille and Slovan Bratislava, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Brest
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Slovan Bratislava

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Slovak First Football League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Slovan Bratislava win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawSlovan Bratislava
54.64% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)23% (0.0020000000000024 0)22.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)67.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.31% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)45.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Lille 54.64%
    Slovan Bratislava 22.35%
    Draw 23%
LilleDrawSlovan Bratislava
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.98%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 54.64%
1-1 @ 10.85%
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 22.35%

How you voted: Lille vs Slovan Bratislava

Lille
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Slovan Bratislava
12.5%
48