Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 13

Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
2 - 3
Brighton

Elanga (3'), Gibbs-White (76' pen.)
Toffolo (54'), Niakhate (74')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ferguson (26'), Pedro (45+4', 58' pen.)
Adingra (65'), Dunk (72'), Ferguson (74'), Verbruggen (82'), Buonanotte (90+4')
Dunk (73')

Reaction

Brighton & Hove Albion's Joao Pedro celebrates scoring their third goal with Evan Ferguson on November 25, 2023

Evan Ferguson, Joao Pedro react to Brighton & Hove Albion's "mad" win over Nottingham Forest

Evan Ferguson and Joao Pedro believe that Brighton & Hove Albion "deserved" to claim all three points in a "mad" 3-2 victory over Nottingham Forest on Saturday.

Nov 25, 18:51

The Match

Match Report

Ten-man Brighton & Hove Albion hold on for a hard-fought 3-2 win over Nottingham Forest at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Last Game: West Ham 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Sheff Utd
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
29.1% ( -0.23)	23.99% ( -0.1)	46.91% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 58.54% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.55% (

0.33)

43.44% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.16% (

0.32)

65.84% (

-0.32)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72% (

0.01)

28% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.35% (

0.02)

63.65% (

-0.01)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.31% (

0.26)

18.69% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.97% (

0.44)

50.03% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 29.1%

Brighton & Hove Albion 46.91%

Draw 23.99%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.1%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.99%	1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.39% Total : 46.91%