Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton
1 - 0
Marseille

Pedro (88')
Lallana (79'), Mitoma (84'), Pedro (89'), Steele (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mbemba (75'), Ounahi (79'), Sarr (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion secure top spot in Group B of the Europa League by beating Marseille thanks to a 88th-minute winner from Joao Pedro.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Lorient 2-4 Marseille
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Marseille
51.01% ( -0.01)	22.92% ( 0)	26.06% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.25% (

-0)

40.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.86% (

-0)

63.14% (

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89% (

-0.01)

16.11% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.48% (

-0.01)

45.52% (

0.01)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21% (

28.79% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36% (

0.01)

64.64% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 51.01%

Marseille 26.06%

Draw 22.92%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.01%	1-1 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.92%	1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 3.43% Total : 26.06%