/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frenlog.png)
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
8'
-
Azzedine Ounahi
65'
-
Iliman Ndiaye
67'
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Francois-Regis Mughe
81'
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Baptiste Santamaria
36'
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Christopher Wooh
61'
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Nemanja Matic
76'
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Amine Gouiri
90'
Marseille vs Rennes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F38%2Fmarseille.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Marseille
45.15%
▼
(-0.70)
Draw
24.86%
▲
(+0.29)
Rennes
29.99%
▲
(+0.42)
Both Teams to Score:
56.13%
▼
(-0.70)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.14%
▼
(-1.03)
Under 2.5
46.86%
▲
(+1.03)
Over 3.5
30.89%
▼
(-0.97)
Under 3.5
69.11%
▲
(+0.97)
Over 4.5
15.29%
▼
(-0.68)
Under 4.5
84.71%
▲
(+0.69)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
79.19%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 0.5
20.81%
▲
(+0.73)
Over 1.5
46.52%
▼
(-1.15)
Under 1.5
53.48%
▲
(+1.16)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5
70.88%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 0.5
29.12%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 1.5
34.96%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
65.04%
▲
(+0.29)
Score analysis
Marseille
45.15%
Draw
24.86%
Rennes
29.99%
Marseille
1-0
@
9.51%
▲
(+0.20)
2-1 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.15%
2-1 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.15%
Draw
1-1
@
11.73%
▲
(+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.86%
0-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.86%
Rennes
0-1
@
7.48%
▲
(+0.28)
1-2 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 29.99%
1-2 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 29.99%