MX23RW : Tuesday, March 5 11:32:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Rennes
Marseille
2 - 0
Rennes
Aubameyang (8' pen.), Ounahi (65')
Mughe (81')
Ndiaye (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Santamaria (36'), Matic (76'), Gouiri (90')
Wooh (61')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 4-3 Ajax
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 0-3 Rennes
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Marseille 2-1 Rennes

Both Marseille and Rennes will enter Sunday's clash in high spirits and will hope to build on their Europa League wins in midweek as they attempt to turn their fortunes around in Ligue 1 and climb the table. Although there is little to separate these two teams, we believe that Marseille will do enough to come out on top considering their strong unbeaten home run and recent head-to-head record against Rennes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawRennes
45.15% (-0.698 -0.7) 24.86% (0.282 0.28) 29.99% (0.419 0.42)
Both teams to score 56.13% (-0.693 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.14% (-1.022 -1.02)46.86% (1.025 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.89% (-0.962 -0.96)69.11% (0.964 0.96)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (-0.72 -0.72)20.81% (0.723 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.52% (-1.147 -1.15)53.48% (1.151 1.15)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (-0.226 -0.23)29.12% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.96% (-0.281 -0.28)65.04% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 45.15%
    Rennes 29.99%
    Draw 24.86%
MarseilleDrawRennes
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.198 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.15%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.257 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.271 0.27)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 29.99%

How you voted: Marseille vs Rennes

Marseille
76.3%
Draw
18.4%
Rennes
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 20, 2023 8.10pm
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Marseille
1-1
Rennes
Guendouzi (52')
Guendouzi (25' og.)
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Rennes
2-0
Marseille
Bourigeaud (12'), Majer (35')
Tait (27')

Sampaoli (27'), Caleta-Car (64'), Gueye (70')
Sep 19, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 6
Marseille
2-0
Rennes
Dieng (48'), Harit (71')
Sampaoli (33')

Bade (44'), Santamaria (64'), Genesio (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG24167154193555
2Brest24137435181746
3MonacoMonaco24126644341042
4Lille24118534201441
5Nice2411762317640
6Lens2411673324939
7Marseille2499638261236
8Rennes249873629735
9Reims24104103032-234
10Toulouse247892732-529
11Lyon2484122538-1328
12StrasbourgStrasbourg2468102537-1226
13Lorient2467113345-1225
14NantesNantes2474132336-1325
15Le HavreLe Havre2459102431-724
16Montpellier HSCMontpellier2459102733-623
17Metz2455142137-1620
18Clermont2438131741-2417

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