Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Roazhon Park
PSG logo

Rennes
1 - 3
PSG

Gouiri (56')
Omari (42')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vitinha (32'), Hakimi (36'), Kolo (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 1-0 Rennes
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-1 PSG
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Rennes win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawParis Saint-Germain
36.16% (-3.121 -3.12)23.85% (-0.073 -0.07)39.98% (3.196 3.2)
Both teams to score 61.92% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76% (0.288 0.29)40.24% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.38% (0.297 0.3)62.61% (-0.294 -0.29)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-1.423 -1.42)22.24% (1.425 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-2.188 -2.19)55.68% (2.191 2.19)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (1.685 1.69)20.37% (-1.682 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22% (2.609 2.61)52.78% (-2.607 -2.61)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 36.16%
    Paris Saint-Germain 39.98%
    Draw 23.85%
RennesDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.394 -0.39)
2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.535 -0.53)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.39 -0.39)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.393 -0.39)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.221 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 36.16%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 8.62% (0.388 0.39)
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.269 0.27)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.49 0.49)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.424 0.42)
2-3 @ 3.44% (0.181 0.18)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.398 0.4)
1-4 @ 1.82% (0.251 0.25)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.137 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.211 0.21)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 39.98%

How you voted: Rennes vs PSG

Rennes
25.0%
Draw
21.1%
Paris Saint-Germain
53.9%
76
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 28
PSG
0-2
Rennes
Toko Ekambi (45'), Kalimuendo (48')
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Rennes
1-0
PSG
Traore (65')
Feb 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 24
PSG
1-0
Rennes
Mbappe (90+2')
Mbappe (41'), Verratti (89')

Alemdar (90')
Oct 3, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 9
Rennes
2-0
PSG
Laborde (45'), Tait (46')
Laborde (24'), Martin (55')

Kimpembe (55'), Donnarumma (56'), Mbappe (86')
May 9, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 36
Rennes
1-1
PSG
Guirassy (70')
Aguerd (45+4'), Diouf (80'), Del Castillo (89'), Tait (90+1')
Neymar (45+5' pen.)
Herrera (57')
Kimpembe (87')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!