Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Rennes win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.