Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Rennes |
| 25.7% ( | 25.08% ( | 49.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% ( | 50.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% ( | 72.41% ( |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% ( | 34.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.03% ( | 70.96% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( | 20.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.96% ( | 53.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 3-0 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.7% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 11.13% ( 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0-2 @ 8.82% ( 1-3 @ 4.98% ( 0-3 @ 4.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 2-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 49.21% |