/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Flenlog_2.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
-
Jonathan Gradit
44'
-
Salis Abdul Samed
76'
-
Jonathan Gradit
90'
-
Renan Lodi
37'
-
Vitor Oliveira
45'+2'
Lens vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F36%2Flens.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.
Result
Lens
46.91%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
25.21%
▼
(-0.10)
Marseille
27.88%
▲
(+0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
53.61%
▲
(+0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.47%
▲
(+0.49)
Under 2.5
49.53%
▼
(-0.49)
Over 3.5
28.44%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 3.5
71.56%
▼
(-0.44)
Over 4.5
13.61%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 4.5
86.39%
▼
(-0.30)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5
78.87%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 0.5
21.13%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 1.5
46.02%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 1.5
53.98%
▼
(-0.29)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
67.98%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 0.5
32.02%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 1.5
31.52%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 1.5
68.48%
▼
(-0.41)
Score analysis
Lens
46.91%
Draw
25.2%
Marseille
27.88%
Lens
1-0
@
10.51%
▼
(-0.16)
2-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.91%
2-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.91%
Draw
1-1
@
11.97%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.2%
0-0 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.2%
Marseille
0-1
@
7.71%
▼
(-0.08)
1-2 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 27.88%
1-2 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 27.88%