Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.