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Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Marseille

Strasbourg
1 - 1
Marseille

Emegha (6')
Bakwa (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clauss (27')
Lodi (54'), Veretout (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawMarseille
32.39% (-0.293 -0.29)26.78% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)40.82% (0.389 0.39)
Both teams to score 50.98% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.99% (0.31 0.31)54% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.56% (0.259 0.26)75.44% (-0.262 -0.26)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)31.08% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)67.4% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (0.351 0.35)26.02% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (0.47000000000001 0.47)61.06% (-0.472 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 32.39%
    Marseille 40.81%
    Draw 26.78%
StrasbourgDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.39%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.09% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 10.88% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.33% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.81%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Marseille

Strasbourg
14.3%
Draw
28.6%
Marseille
57.1%
21
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Marseille
2-2
Strasbourg
Mbemba (49'), Sanchez (76' pen.)
Aholou (88', 89')
Oct 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Strasbourg
2-2
Marseille
Mothiba (76'), Gameiro (90+2')
Dieng (8'), Kabore (35')
May 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 38
Marseille
4-0
Strasbourg
Gerson (32', 89'), Under (73'), Bakambu (90+2')
Caleta-Car (34'), Gueye (86')

Sissoko (75')
Dec 12, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 18
Strasbourg
0-2
Marseille

Stephan (38'), Ajorque (49'), Nyamsi (71')
Dieng (62'), Caleta-Car (82')
Guendouzi (68')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 35
Marseille
1-1
Strasbourg
Benedetto (86')
Rongier (55'), Lirola (81'), Milik (90+2'), Gueye (90+3')
Mitrovic (73')
Kone (53'), Diallo (85')
rhs 2.0


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