Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille |
| 32.39% ( | 26.78% ( | 40.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.99% ( | 54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.56% ( | 75.44% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( | 31.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( | 67.4% ( |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( | 26.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.94% ( | 61.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 3-2 @ 1.95% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.39% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 2-2 @ 5% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0-2 @ 7.33% ( 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.81% |