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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
Strasbourg

PSG
3 - 0
Strasbourg

Mbappe (10' pen.), Soler (31'), Ruiz (77')
Kang-in (82'), Ndour (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawStrasbourg
64.31% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)19.58%16.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)38.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.9% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)61.1% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)11.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.85% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)36.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.16% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.95% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 64.31%
    Strasbourg 16.11%
    Draw 19.58%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawStrasbourg
2-0 @ 9.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 64.31%
1-1 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.58%
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 4.19%
0-2 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 16.11%

How you voted: PSG vs Strasbourg

Paris Saint-Germain
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Strasbourg
6.7%
30
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Strasbourg
1-1
PSG
Gameiro (79')
Diarra (23')
Messi (59')
Vitinha (6'), Verratti (75')
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
PSG
2-1
Strasbourg
Marquinhos (14'), Mbappe (90+6' pen.)
Marquinhos (51' og.)
Apr 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
Strasbourg
3-3
PSG
Gameiro (3'), Verratti (75' og.), Caci (90+1')
Bellegarde (8'), Prcic (41'), Lienard (60')
Mbappe (23', 68'), Hakimi (64')
Neymar (73'), Kimpembe (90+2'), Donnarumma (90+5')
Aug 14, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 2
PSG
4-2
Strasbourg
Icardi (3'), Mbappe (25'), Draxler (27'), Sarabia (86')
Ebimbe (51')
Gameiro (53'), Ajorque (64')
Fila (60'), Djiku (79'), Bellegarde (90+1')
Djiku (81')
Apr 10, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 32
Strasbourg
1-4
PSG
Moise Sahi (63')
Mbappe (16'), Sarabia (27'), Kean (45'), Paredes (79')
Kean (57')
rhs 2.0


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