Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Rennes |
| 21.84% ( | 23.25% ( | 54.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.49% ( | 46.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.21% ( | 68.79% ( |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.48% ( | 35.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.72% ( | 72.28% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.19% ( | 16.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.21% ( | 46.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 2-1 @ 5.71% ( 2-0 @ 3.2% ( 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 3-2 @ 1.76% 3-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.84% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0-2 @ 9.49% ( 1-3 @ 5.84% ( 0-3 @ 5.64% ( 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 1-4 @ 2.6% ( 0-4 @ 2.52% ( 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 1-5 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.9% |