Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2023 at 2pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
3 - 3
Lorient

Nuamah (21'), Lacazette (22', 41' pen.)

FT(HT: 3-1)

Junior Kroupi (16', 54'), Yongwa (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 2-0 Lyon
Sunday, October 1 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 0-3 Montpellier
Sunday, October 1 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Lorient
57.48% ( -0.66)	21.59% ( 0.14)	20.93% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 57.9% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.77% (

0.08)

40.23% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.4% (

0.08)

62.6% (

-0.07)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.21% (

-0.17)

13.79% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.88% (

-0.35)

41.12% (

0.36)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.17% (

0.55)

32.83% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.6% (

0.6)

69.4% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Lyon 57.48%

Lorient 20.93%

Draw 21.59%

Lyon	Draw	Lorient
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 57.48%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.59%	1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.36% Total : 20.93%