Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Lyon win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.