Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Clermont |
| 49.21% ( | 23.34% ( | 27.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.43% ( | 41.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.03% ( | 63.97% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.93% ( | 17.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.75% ( | 47.25% ( |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.8% ( | 28.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.1% ( | 63.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Clermont |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 4-2 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 4.05% Total : 49.21% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 3-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.45% |