Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Clermont |
| 42.08% ( | 26.1% ( | 31.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.58% ( | 51.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.76% ( | 73.23% ( |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( | 24.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.46% ( | 58.54% ( |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.82% ( | 30.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.67% ( | 66.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 4-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0-3 @ 2.09% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.81% |