Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Metz had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Metz win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Metz |
| 59.46% ( | 20.86% | 19.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.34% ( | 38.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.04% ( | 60.96% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.3% ( | 12.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.1% ( | 38.9% ( |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.86% ( | 33.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% ( | 69.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Metz |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 3-1 @ 6.81% 3-0 @ 6.17% ( 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 4-1 @ 3.51% 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 5-1 @ 1.45% 5-0 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.79% Total : 59.46% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.86% | 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0-1 @ 4.65% 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.26% Total : 19.68% |