Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9

Oct 22, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
2 - 1
Metz

Golovin (42', 55')
Matsima (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Camara (4')
Camara (53'), Tetteh (66'), N'Duquidi (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, October 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 0-1 Nice
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Metz
48.83% ( 0.59)	24.35% ( 0.08)	26.82% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 55.56% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.42% (

-0.8)

46.58% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.15% (

-0.76)

68.85% (

0.76)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.86% (

-0.07)

19.14% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.22% (

-0.12)

50.79% (

0.13)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.72% (

-0.93)

31.29% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.36% (

-1.09)

67.64% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

Monaco 48.83%

Metz 26.82%

Draw 24.35%

Monaco	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 48.83%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.35%	0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.84% Total : 26.82%