/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmonlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fmetlog.png)
-
Aleksandr Golovin
42'
-
Aleksandr Golovin
55'
-
Chrislain Matsima
67'
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Lamine Camara
4'
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Lamine Camara
53'
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Benjamin Tetteh
66'
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Joseph N'Duquidi
74'
Monaco vs Metz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result
Monaco
48.83%
▲
(+0.60)
Draw
24.35%
▲
(+0.08)
Metz
26.82%
▼
(-0.67)
Both Teams to Score:
55.56%
▼
(-0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.42%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 2.5
46.58%
▲
(+0.81)
Over 3.5
31.15%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 3.5
68.85%
▲
(+0.77)
Over 4.5
15.47%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 4.5
84.53%
▲
(+0.55)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5
80.86%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
19.14%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
49.22%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
50.79%
▲
(+0.13)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5
68.72%
▼
(-0.93)
Under 0.5
31.29%
▲
(+0.94)
Over 1.5
32.36%
▼
(-1.10)
Under 1.5
67.64%
▲
(+1.10)
Score analysis
Monaco
48.83%
Draw
24.35%
Metz
26.82%
Monaco
1-0
@
9.9%
▲
(+0.32)
2-1 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 48.83%
2-1 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 48.83%
Draw
1-1
@
11.5%
▲
(+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.35%
0-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.35%
Metz
0-1
@
6.96%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.82%
1-2 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.82%
John Boye
87'