Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Reims had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Reims win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Monaco |
| 35.04% ( | 24.23% ( | 40.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% ( | 42.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( | 64.63% ( |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( | 23.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.1% ( | 57.9% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% ( | 20.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.42% ( | 53.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reims | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 3% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0-2 @ 6.09% ( 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0-4 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.73% |