/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
9'
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Chancel Mbemba
26'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
47'
-
Renan Lodi
69'
-
Ismaila Sarr
90'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
90'+3'
-
Brian Brobbey
10'
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Brian Brobbey
30'
-
Steven Berghuis
63'
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Kenneth Taylor
71'
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Kristian Hlynsson
76'
-
Chuba Akpom
79'
-
Devyne Rensch
90'+3'
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Jorrel Hato
90'+8'
Marseille vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F38%2Fmarseille.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.92%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Marseille
40.74%
Draw
22.69%
Ajax
36.57%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
66.47%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.66%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
34.34%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
43.76%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
56.24%
Over 4.5
25.23%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
74.76%
▼
(-0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
82.46%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
17.54%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
51.93%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
48.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
80.61%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
19.39%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
48.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
51.19%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Marseille
40.74%
Draw
22.69%
Ajax
36.57%
Marseille
2-1
@
8.45%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-2 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 40.74%
1-0 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-2 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 40.74%
Draw
1-1
@
9.71%
2-2 @ 6.93%
0-0 @ 3.4%
3-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.69%
2-2 @ 6.93%
0-0 @ 3.4%
3-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.69%
Ajax
1-2
@
7.97%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.58%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79%
2-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 36.57%
0-1 @ 5.58%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79%
2-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 36.57%