/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fvitlog.png)
-
Jorrel Hato
3'
-
Kristian Hlynsson
12'
-
Alois Oroz
50'
-
Chuba Akpom
58'
-
Kenneth Taylor
67'
-
Steven Bergwijn
90'+2'
-
Enzo Cornelisse
90'+1'
-
Toni Domgjoni
90'+4'
Ajax vs Vitesse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F38%2Fajax.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 19.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.81%) and 3-1 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Ajax
61.6%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
19.24%
▼
(-0.01)
Vitesse
19.15%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
63.49%
▲
(+0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.39%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
31.61%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
46.89%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
53.11%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 4.5
27.94%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
72.05%
▼
(-0.08)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
90%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
9.99%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
66.99%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
33%
▼
(-0.03)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5
70.54%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
29.45%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
34.54%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
65.46%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Ajax
61.6%
Draw
19.25%
Vitesse
19.15%
Ajax
2-1
@
9.54%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 61.6%
2-0 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 61.6%
Draw
1-1
@
8.29%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.25%
2-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.25%
Vitesse
1-2
@
5.06%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 19.15%
0-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 19.15%