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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Vitesse |
| 45.75% ( | 23.14% ( | 31.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.66% ( | 38.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.38% ( | 60.62% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( | 17.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.62% ( | 47.37% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( | 24.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.5% ( | 58.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 4-0 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 4.14% Total : 45.75% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0-2 @ 4.18% ( 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.1% |